Larry Sabato, director for the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, told the Business Council of Alabama on Saturday that John Kerry would win if the election were held now, and says, "[Bush] really will need a miracle to win, and the last miracle was for Harry S. Truman", according to an article in the Birmingham News.
Sabato, never known to be overly friendly toward Democratic candidates, reportedly called John Kerry, "a cross between a funeral director and Lurch, the stiff butler on the old TV comedy "The Addams Family".
His continued his negative comments about Kerry by reportedly saying, "He can't connect with people. He's way to the left of the American mainstream."
Sabato opined that Bush needs to focus on contoversial "wedge" issues such as abortion, gay marriage, gun control, and the death penalty in order to win.
While the article does not say whether Sabato commented on Kerry's chances in Virginia, he did predict that Kerry will likely win Minnesota, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. He said Bush's best chances for Bush to take states from the Gore column were Iowa and Wisconsin. He said Kerry's best chances of taking a 2000 Bush state was New Hampsire. Sabato sees West Virginia and Florida leaning toward Kerry, with Ohio and Missouri as tossups.
A particularly sweet benefit of turning Virginia blue would be watching Larry Sabato scramble to explain it. Let's make it happen!